Association between joint tenderness, patient-reported joint pain and ultrasound abnormalities in anti-CCP positive individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis: a cross-sectional study from a Leeds (UK) cohort

Objectives In individuals at-risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), to investigate how joint tenderness and patient-reported joint pain (PRJP) relate to ultrasound abnormalities and assess whether these exploratory results could be used to assist future evaluation of symptom/signs-guided ultrasound scanning approaches in this population.

Methods This is a cross-sectional analysis from a Leeds (UK) cohort of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) positive individuals with new musculoskeletal complaints and no clinical arthritis. Assessments included physical examination, a mannequin where participants ticked joints that were painful and ultrasound scans of wrists, metacarpo-phalangeal joints 1, 5 (MCPs1-5), proximal interphalangeal joints 1, 5 (PIPs1-5), elbows, knees, ankles, metatarso-phalangeal joints 1, 5 (MTPs1-5), finger flexor tendons (2-5) and extensor carpi ulnaris. Grey scale (GS), power Doppler (PD), tenosynovitis and erosions were assessed. A generalised estimating equations model was used to evaluate potential associations between tenderness/PRJP and ultrasound findings at the joint-level, adjusting for age and sex. Positive and negative predictive values for ultrasound changes were calculated.

Results 323 participants were analysed. Joint tenderness was associated with ultrasound abnormalities, predominantly PD in wrists, MCPs, PIPs, elbows, knees and MTPs. GS and erosions were also associated with tenderness, but to a lesser degree. Association of PRJP with ultrasound abnormalities was more inconsistent and mostly for GS in the feet (all p≤0.05). Absence of symptoms and signs had a negative predictive value between 97% and 100% in all joints, except in wrists; which was slightly lower.

Conclusions In anti-CCP positive individuals at risk of RA, tenderness, predominantly in the small joints, was associated with local inflammatory changes on ultrasound. The association of PRJP and ultrasound was limited. In the absence of tenderness, the presence of PD, tenosynovitis or erosions was uncommon. These findings may inform future studies evaluating symptom/sign-guided ultrasound assessment approaches in at-risk populations.

Trial registration number NCT02012764.