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Beware before investing in South Korea’s KOSPI market

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The South Korean stock market, the KOSPI, is not an investment-grade asset, even though the country is home to two of the world’s premier technology companies: SK Hynix and Samsung. The simple truth is that the Korea Composite Stock Price Index is too volatile, illiquid, and prone to extreme speculation to be an appropriate destination for investment and […]

The South Korean stock market, the KOSPI, is not an investment-grade asset, even though the country is home to two of the world’s premier technology companies: SK Hynix and Samsung. The simple truth is that the Korea Composite Stock Price Index is too volatile, illiquid, and prone to extreme speculation to be an appropriate destination for investment and diversification.

This is unfortunate because SK Hynix and Samsung, together with Micron, effectively control the market for high-bandwidth memory chips, which are essential components of Nvidia’s accelerated computing platforms. In addition, these three companies dominate the broader market for memory semiconductors. Likely for several years to come, both high-bandwidth memory chips and conventional memory semiconductors will remain in extremely short supply. This severe supply-demand imbalance has driven memory chip prices sharply higher, and the share prices of all three companies have soared. Each stock is up more than 100% this year.

The strength of the memory semiconductor market was illustrated earlier this week when Samsung reported a 19-fold increase in profits for its June quarter. Largely because of the blistering rallies in SK Hynix and Samsung, South Korea’s stock market, as measured by the KOSPI, has become one of the world’s best-performing major equity markets. The KOSPI has nearly doubled over the past year.

Regardless, the KOSPI has also exhibited extraordinary volatility this year. The index has recorded 20 trading sessions in which it closed up or down by at least 5%. In fact, the KOSPI was down almost 5% on Tuesday of this week. By comparison, during 2025, the index moved 5% or more on only two occasions.

Retail investing has exploded in South Korea. There are now more than 105 million active trading accounts, more than twice the country’s adult population of approximately 46 million. This surge in retail participation has fueled dramatic short squeezes and outsize intraday price swings that often bear little relationship to underlying business fundamentals. The market’s volatility has been amplified by a sharp increase in margin debt, which has more than doubled over the past 12 months. With borrowing costs typically approaching 10%, many investors have faced margin calls and forced selling, further intensifying market swings.

Beyond volatility, South Korea’s equity market has several structural weaknesses that should give American investors pause. Corporate governance has historically been weaker than in many developed markets. Management teams in South Korea often prioritize expanding market share over maximizing shareholder value. South Korean companies also tend to return relatively little excess cash to shareholders. Instead, profits are frequently reinvested in the business, sometimes with insufficient regard for generating attractive returns on that capital.

Geopolitical risk is another important consideration. South Korea continues to live under the constant threat posed by North Korea. While the probability of a major military conflict remains low, the consequences would be catastrophic. Investors should carefully weigh this risk before committing capital to the South Korean market.

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Investors who want exposure to the dynamism of South Korea’s economy can reduce some of these risks by purchasing South Korean companies listed on U.S. exchanges. For example, this week SK Hynix, the world’s leading supplier of high-bandwidth memory for artificial intelligence data centers, is expected to list shares on the Nasdaq through a secondary offering. Those shares will be subject to U.S. securities laws.

Other South Korean companies with U.S. listings include Coupang, the e-commerce giant; LG Display, a leading manufacturer of display panels; and MagnaChip Semiconductor, a producer of analog and power semiconductors. But “buyer beware” are words investors should remember when considering investing directly in the South Korean stock market.

The writer owns stocks in Micron and Nvidia.

James Rogan is a former diplomat who later worked in law and finance for over 30 years. Now he writes a daily note on markets, economics, politics, and social issues. He can be reached at Roganjames8202@gmail.com.