David Jolly, a former Republican congressman turned Democrat, is running for Florida governor on the argument that the state's rightward shift under Ron DeSantis is reversible. Once reliably competitive for Democrats, Florida voted decisively for DeSantis in 2022 and gave Trump commanding margins in 2024. Jolly contends recent abortion restrictions and other DeSantis policies have alienated enough moderates and women to make the state competitive again. He points to demographic changes and voter fatigue as potential openings, though he faces long odds: no Democrat has won a statewide Florida race since 2012, and Republicans now hold a substantial voter registration advantage.