Emergent decadal predictability in Antarctic contribution to sea-level rise

Article excerpt

Nature, Published online: 17 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41586-026-10614-4 Although Antarctic ice loss projections diverge widely by 2100, this Perspective shows that present-day rates robustly predict mid-century sea level rise, providing a firm basis for near-term planning, while highlighting priorities for model development aimed at resolving longer-term sea level rise uncertainty.